I have been seeing this throughout the primary season but tonight, with Donald Trump now officially the presumptive Republican Party nominee, I have seen a flood of tweets, Facebook posts, and the like saying tonight was the night Hillary Clinton got elected President of the United States.
If there is a one-word response to this overconfidence by many on the Democratic side of things it would simply be: Stop!
Although now that I think about it, I guess I can see their argument. I mean who could possibly get elected to any office saying things like:
- “What I think we ought to do is bring the guillotine back. We could have public executions.”
- “The traffickers … these are guys by the name D-Money, Smoothie, Shifty. These type of guys that come from Connecticut, New York. They come up here, they sell their heroin, then they go back home. Incidentally, half the time they impregnate a young, white girl before they leave, which is the real sad thing because then we have another issue we gotta deal with down the road.”
- “I have been trying to get the President to pay attention to illegals in our country … because there is a spike in hepatitis C, tuberculosis, HIV, and it is going on deaf ears,”
- “Everybody looks at the negative effects of global warming, but with the ice melting, the Northern Passage has opened up.”
- “What I am trying to say is the Holocaust was a horrific crime against humanity and, frankly, I would never want to see that repeated. Maybe the IRS is not quite as bad — yet.”
These quotes are so beyond the pale that anybody who has uttered half of them would be immediately disqualified from holding any elected office. So maybe I am just overreacting.
Except these quotes are not from Donald Trump. They are from Maine Gov. Paul LePage. Yes, this guy is currently running a state.
Paul LePage is basically Donald Trump on the state level. He has even been dubbed “America’s craziest governor” by the press.
I am sure many on the left also thought there was no chance this guy could win back in 2010. He is brash, he is crazy, and look at all of the horrible things he has said. And yet, he won in 2010.
The people who may have reconciled his victory with “yea, but he is nuts and he’ll be a disaster, so we’ll vote him out in 2014,” were in for quite the surprise. LePage, despite everything he said, was re-elected in the 2014 GOP wave year by a five-point margin over a respected, sitting Congressman by the name of Mike Michaud.
Keep in mind, this did not happen in some crazy right wing state like Mississippi. It happened in Maine; a blue state that has voted with the Democratic presidential candidate in every election since 1992, and is home to one of the last standing moderate Republicans in the country, Sen. Susan Collins.
This true blue state not only elected LePage, but they elected him twice!
So for anybody out there saying Donald Trump has no chance of winning the White House in November, I urge you to look to Maine and Paul LePage to see for yourself that yes, people like this can win elections.
You’d think after the losses of 2010 and 2014, Democrats would learn that overconfidence, especially in politics, is typically a recipe for disaster. Some have. Unfortunately, some have not.
If those who are in the latter camp cannot erase this way of thinking from their minds, and start acting like Clinton is 10 points down to Trump, they could be in for a rude, and very scary, awakening on the night of November 8.