Today is absentee ballot day, and in the Baltimore mayoral race, Catherine Pugh leads Sheila Dixon by 2,574 votes. My sources advise that around 3,800 absentee ballots are being counted today, with a much smaller number to be counted next week.
While it’s mathematically possible for Sheila Dixon to catch up, the chances of that happening are infinitesimally small. To even get close for the final count next week, Dixon would need to run about a 6-1 margin over Pugh, and at the same time keep other candidates’ absentee totals down as well. That is very unlikely to happen.